Macroeconomic equilibriums, crises and fiscal policy
نویسندگان
چکیده
Macroeconomic crises are common as well economically, socially and politically costly. Fiscal policy plays an important role in alleviating the costs of crisis. However, recent experiences suggest that public finances often unprepared for a Deficits debt levels prior to crisis commonly too high, limiting government’s ability support economy through recovery phase. In this article, I argue theoretical macroeconomic models’ underlying assumption stable long-run equilibrium may partially explain why governments fail prepare future standard models, seen one-off events caused by external factors, which creates false impression economic stability. The models thus indirectly indicate there is no need potential Using forecast data, demonstrate how perspective dominates thinking it contributes too-high ratios end article discussing design fiscal rules based on rather than perspective.
منابع مشابه
Fiscal Policy, Macroeconomic Stability and Finite Horizons
In this paper we analyse the stabilisation properties of distortionary taxes in a New Keynesian model with overlapping generations of finitely-lived consumers. In this framework, government debt is part of net wealth and this adds a number of interesting channels through which fiscal policy could affect output and inflation. Output volatility, in presence of technology shocks, is not substantia...
متن کاملIdentifying Endogenous Fiscal Policy Rules for Macroeconomic Models
4 Non-technical summary 5
متن کاملOptimal Fiscal Policy in a Simple Macroeconomic Context
This article derives optimal fiscal rules within a stochastic model of Keynesian type in the context of Poole (1970) analysis. By using optimal control theory and applying the Hamilton-Jacoby-Bellman equation, we extend the original Poole results concerning the output stabilization properties of monetary policy to the case of fiscal policy. In particular, we look for the optimal setting of gove...
متن کاملCurrency Crises and Macroeconomic Performance
Economic Group Reserve Bank of Australia We thank colleagues in Economic Research Department and Financial System Group, especially Adam Cagliarini and David Gruen, for their suggestions. Aart Kraay generously provided some of the data used in Section 2. Any errors are ours and the opinions expressed here should not be attributed to the Reserve Bank of Australia.
متن کاملFiscal Deficits and Currency Crises
This paper investigates currency and financial crises in an optimizing general equilibrium model. It is shown that a rise in current and expected future budget deficits generates a real exchange rate appreciation and a decumulation of external assets, leading up to a currency crisis when foreign reserves approximate a critical level. Strong empirical support for our model is obtained by a probi...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Global Discourse
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['2326-9995', '2043-7897']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1332/204378921x16330096286109